Tag Archives: Jay Perrin

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs Ankalaev – Prelims predictions

The UFC returns to the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas for UFC 282 as they will crown a brand new undisputed light heavyweight champion when Jan Blachowicz takes on Magomed Ankalaev in the main event.

Originally a three-round co-main, former champion Jiri Prochazka was forced to withdraw from his rematch with Glover Teixeira and vacate his title after suffering a shoulder injury in training, which saw this fight bumped up to a title fight.

We’ll also see the UK’s own compete as Paddy Pimblett and Darren Till compete on the main card, while there is some deep prelim fights on the card too.

Last time out at UFC Orlando we had a shocking night, going 5/14 with just one perfect pick to move to 789/1227 (64.3%) with 325 perfect picks (41.19%). You can see our full pick history here.

We’ll look to improve on that here and after starting with the early prelims, we move on to the rest of the prelims here.


Chris Curtis (29-9) vs Joaquin Buckley (15-5) – (Middleweight/185lbs)

A super fun fight in the middleweight division between two guys with real knockout power and a fan friendly style. Curtis saw his eight-fight win streak snapped in a relatively boring fight against Jack Hermansson at UFC London last time out. Buckley was on a three-fight win streak ahead of his last fight against Nassourdine Imavov, but lost a decision at UFC Paris.

Curtis’ nickname is Action Man and it suits his fight style. He likes to walk forward and use his excellent boxing skills to land strikes inside a close distance, while also using good wrestling to keep fights standing. Buckley is a powerhouse who has got great cardio, and explosive power that makes him capable of putting anyone’s lights out if necessary.

These two fighters are really well matched up. Curtis will likely go to the body more and use a variety of attacks, but Buckley is the man with more power and the more eye-catching moments without a doubt. Both should be able to hold up for the full 15 minutes, so I do expect it to go the distance. With that said, Buckley is the more active guy and I think he’ll edge it on the cards.
PICK – Joaquin Buckley via Decision

Edmen Shahbazyan (11-3) vs Dalcha Lungiambula (11-5) – (Middleweight/185lbs)

More middleweight action up next. Shahbazyan was the next big thing before he ran into Derek Brunson to suffer his first professional loss (UFC Vegas 5), and has since lost two more against Hermansson and Imavov (UFC 268) to make it three in a row. Lungiambula has lost four of his last five, including his last three in a row too, dropping a decision to Marc-Andre Barriault, getting submitted by Cody Brundage and knocked out by Punahele Soriano most recently.

Shahbazyan is a world-class kickboxer with great movement, excellent footwork and solid power, but his chin has absolutely been tested recently and his takedown defence is a massive glaring hole in his game. Lungiambula is a decent wrestler with great power striking, but some weird techniques that leave him open to counter striking from his opponent.

There are still plenty of tools and lots of time in the favour of Shahbazyan and this is the perfect fight for him to get back on track. He’s excellent on the feet and will have a big edge there, and while Lungiambula could take him down his top game isn’t the best and “Golden Boy” should feel as though he can get back up. Shahbazyan could put on a striking clinic, and I think a big head kick lands in the first half of the fight for a win.
PICK – Edmen Shahbazyan via Knockout, Round 1



Raul Rosas Jr (6-0) vs Jay Perrin (10-6) – (Bantamweight/135lbs)

The youngest fighter on the UFC roster makes his debut in this one. Rosas Jr earned a contract on the Contender Series as a 17-year-old back in September to move to 6-0, while Perrin has lost his last two against Mario Bautista and most recently Aoriqileng (UFC 278).

Rosas Jr is a spectacular grappler with som excellent wrestling and really good top control, able to pass guard and transition to new positions quickly and accurately to go with his ground and pound skills. Perrin is a well-rounded fighter with good boxing and power, plus a solid bit of wrestling in his back pocket to go with it. He’s also far more experienced than Rosas, which could have a huge say.

With that said though, Rosas looked at home on the Contender Series and had some serious skills. If he can stay composed, he has the size and length to cause problems. Perrin will surely look to overwhelm him early on, but Rosas looks special and I think this is the beginning of his journey.
PICK – Raul Rosas Jr via Submission, Round 3

Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-4) vs Chris Daukaus (12-5) – (Heavyweight/220-265lbs)

Ranked heavyweights go at it in the featured prelim bout of this card. Rozenstruik has lost his last two in a row, dropping a decision against Curtis Blaydes at UFC 266 before getting knocked out by Alexander Volkov most recently back in June. Daukaus on the other hand saw his great start to the company shattered by the first of Derrick Lewis at UFC Vegas 45, before Curtis Blaydes KO’d him in March too.

Rozenstruik is a power puncher, straight like that, but he has also got good kicks and a decent kickboxing game too. Daukaus is a jiu-jitsu wizard on the mat, but he’s also got good boxing and terrific hand speed for a man of his size. It’s quite clear how this fight plays out in my mind. Daukaus will hang around on the outside looking to pop his jab and use combinations, then quickly close the distance to look to use his big advantage on the ground.

“Bigi Boy” is going to have to find a way to avoid that, and his best bet for that is to walk forward and set the pace of the fight. He has the type of power that ends the fight in an instant, just ask Alistair Overeem, but he was getting handily beaten in that fight. Daukaus is capable of putting together a performance like Volkov did last time out and just using sheer volume to overwhelm him before getting a finish on the mat.
PICK – Chris Daukaus via Submission, Round 2

UFC 278: Usman vs Edwards 2 – Early prelims predictions

The UFC heads to Utah for a huge welterweight showdown as Kamaru Usman defenders his 170-pound crown against Leon Edwards in the main event.

The two fight for a second time, with neither fighter suffering defeat since the first showing back in 2015 and are supported by an undercard including Paulo Costa, Luke Rockhold, Jose Aldo, Merab Dvalishvili, Alexandr Romanov, Miranda Maverick and more.

Last time out at UFC San Diego we went 8/13 with three perfect picks to move to 698/1082 (64.51%) with 295 perfect picks (42.26%). You can see our full picks history here.

We’ll look to improve on that now, starting with the early prelims.


Daniel Da Silva (11-3) vs Victor Altamirano (10-2) – (Flyweight/125lbs)

Flyweight never die and the 125-pound division opens up the card. Da Silva has lost his last two in a row, getting KO’d by Jeff Molina and then submitted by Francisco Figueiredo via first-round kneebar in his most recent bout. Altamirano suffered a split decision defeat in his UFC debut against Carlos Hernandez most recently.

Da Silva is a lovely striker with especially powerful kicks and lightning fast combinations, while Altamirano is a submission specialist with great ability on the mat and some bog standard striking. Da Silva however really struggles in the grappling department and if he is unable to keep this fight standing then he could be in for trouble. Altamirano however has a tendency to fight with his hands low and with the kicks of Da Silva, that could mean an early night for him.

Ultimately, Altamirano’s path to victory seems more likely. Da Silva is someone who has been know to empty the gas tank far too early chasing finishes that aren’t there, while sometimes his output can suffer because of the fear of a takedown. Expect to see “El Magnifico” ride out the early pressure before getting the fight down to the mat and controlling the action for a scorecard win.
PICK – Victor Altamirano via Decision

Aoriqileng (19-9) vs Jay Perrin (10-5) – (Bantamweight/135lbs)

A very fun bantamweight scrap up next. Aoriqileng got his first UFC win with a big KO against Cameron Else in his last fight, while Perrin lost his debut to Mario Bautista via unanimous decision back in February.

Aoriqileng is a powerful striker with great speed and some really good technique, while Perrin is a wrestler who will look to burst forward with strikes to try and set up a takedown to control the fight from top position. Aoriqileng has struggled in the past with strong wrestlers, notably Cody Durden, and that gives Perrin a big avenue for a victory.

If Perrin is able to get takedowns early and hold him down then he will win this fight easily, but Aoriqileng is likely to have improved his wrestling and certainly has the power to end the night early. It will be tough for him, because Perrin is a good wrestler, but I think Aoriqileng is able to catch him coming in early and end the fight.
PICK – Aoriqileng via Knockout, Round 1



Amir Albazi (14-1) vs Francisco Figueiredo (13-4-1) – (Flyweight/125lbs)

Another fun flyweight scrap in this one. Albazi has won his last three in a row, including a submission win in his UFC debut against Malcolm Gordon (UFC Fight Island 2) and a decision win over Zhalgas Zhumagulov at UFC 257 last time out. Figueiredo is 2-1 in the UFC with a decision win over Jerome Rivera at UFC Fight Island 8, before defeat to Malcolm Gordon and then a kneebar win over Daniel Da Silva most recently.

Albazi is a terrific grappler with terrific wrestling and some excellent submission skills, scoring eight wins via tap out in his career, while also being a decent striker and able to hold his own on the feet. Figueiredo on the other hand is an odd fighter with some okay striking and grappling, but he really lacks output and urgency in his fights and his cardio has let him down in every fight that has gone past the second round before.

Considering Albazi was able to compete as a striker against Zhumagulov, he should be able to do the same with Figueiredo. Add that to the fact he has a great advantage in the grappling and wrestling, plus Figueiredo’s lack of one-punch power to go with his lack of volume, and this should be a one-sided performance in Albazi’s favour.
PICK – Amir Albazi via Decision

AJ Fletcher (9-1) vs Ange Loosa (8-3) – (Welterweight/170lbs)

A banger at welterweight up next between two fun prospects. Fletcher suffered defeat to Matthew Semelsberger in a short-notice bout on his debut last time out, while Loosa is 2-3 in his last five including defeats on Dana White’s Contender Series to Jack Della Maddalena and his debut against Mounir Lazzez last time out.

Fletcher is an absolute powerhouse who is happy to scrap, but he’s also a very good wrestler and likely the best Loosa has ever faced. Loosa is a striker with great power too, who uses excellent low kicks and a super strong right hand to turn his opponents’ lights out. This is a great match-up with the potential for real fireworks.

Loosa has a big seven-inch reach advantage which will help him in the striking department, but he has a tendency to throw naked kicks and that will allow Fletcher the opportunity to catch and wrestle him. If that happens, expect Fletcher to be able to keep him down and earn the victory in a really fun fight.
PICK – AJ Fletcher via Decision

UFC Vegas 48: Walker vs Hill – Early prelims predictions

The UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas this week for a card that has been littered with changes on short notice.

Originally scheduled to be headlined by Rafael Dos Anjos and Rafael Fiziev, that fight was forced to be moved to UFC 272 due to visa issues and will now be headlined by Johnny Walker and Jamahal Hill.

It’s not the greatest of cards, with the only ranked fighters scheduled to compete in the main event but there are some decent fights expected to take place.

Last week at UFC 271 we had a great night, correctly predicting 11/14 fights with seven perfect picks which takes our picks totals to 539/840 (64.17%) with 231 perfect picks (42.86%).

Lets see if we can improve that here, starting with the early prelims.


Mario Bautista (8-2) vs Jay Perrin (10-4) – (Bantamweight/135lbs)

A short notice bout put together this week in the bantamweight division. Bautista saw a two-fight win streak snapped last time out when Tevin Jones KO’d him in the second round at UFC 259, while Perrin makes his UFC debut on a run of seven wins in eight fights.

Bautista is a pressure fighter who uses kicks to close distance and likes to chop at the legs. He’s also a good counter puncher with decent power and is well rounded. Perrin on the other hand is also a solid striker, with good leg kicks and always looking to extend his combinations to catch an opponent off guard.

Both fighters will be willing to shoot for takedowns as well as stand and bang, so the short-notice nature of the bout makes me lean towards Bautista. He’s never had an issue with his cardio and I’d argue he’s probably got the edge over Perrin in most, if not all, areas so he should be able to implement his game and score the win.
PICK – Mario Bautista via Decision

Jonathan Pearce (11-4) vs Christian Rodriguez (7-0) – (Featherweight/145lbs)

A banger at featherweight between two very interesting fighters in yet another short-notice bout. Pearce is on a two-fight win streak having beaten Kai Kamaka III and Omar Morales most recently via submission at UFC 266. Rodriguez is undefeated and has split his wins 3-3-1 by knockout, submission and decision.

Pearce is a solid wrestler who uses a suffocating pace to wear on his opponents with some really decent striking too. He’ll be coming up against a really talented striker in Rodriguez, who has crisp boxing, a lovely one-two and lovely knees too. He’s a good grappler himself, but there is a big gap between himself and Pearce in that department and that’s a big problem.

Rodriguez is undoubtedly a superstar in the making, with lots of talent and potential, but this looks to be too big a step too soon – especially on short notice. Pearce will suffocate him with pressure, look for takedowns against the cage and throw big combinations to get the fight down and eventually get a finish via ground and pound.
PICK – Jonathan Pearce via Knockout, Round 3



Chad Anheliger (11-5) vs Jesse Strader (5-2) – (Bantamweight/135lbs)

A potential fight of the night at 135-pounds between two very talented fighters. Anheliger makes his UFC debut on a nine-fight win streak following his win on Dana White’s Contender Series back in September, while Strader got slept in his only UFC bout to date by Montel Jackson at UFC Vegas 22.

Anheliger is a tidy fighter, with great technical striking and counter punching, a deep gas tank and a granite chin. Strader on the other hand is an explosive fighter who looks to take his opponent out early with a blitz, before his cardio inevitably lets him down later in the fights. Strader is a great wrestler too, but almost never uses it. If he did use it then we’d see a very different fight, because all of Angeliger’s defeats have come via submission.

With that said though, Strader isn’t the best submission artist and I don’t see him wrestling for prolonged periods of time. With that, Anheliger will trade with him on the feet and look to use his counter strikes to pay dividends on the fading chin of Strader as we approach the end of the second round. It’ll be a fun fight while it lasts, but I don’t expect it to go the full 15 minutes.
PICK – Chad Anheliger via Knockout, Round 2